Archive for the 'Rangers Review' Category

No Season Preview Video

Posted by inferno272 on September 22nd, 2008

Instead of writing part 4 of my season preview, I wanted to drop some bad news on you guys. I won’t be able to do my season preview video for the Rangers. You can all write Gary Bettman a nasty letter for it. NHL.com has done something to prevent the capturing of video from their server. Unfortunately that is the sole source of video I have for the Rangers. Without that, I have no way of grabbing video, which means I have no media to use in the video.

It’s a shame, I had a kickass song all ready to go, and a good way of doing it.

If anyone can figure out a way to bypass the NHL’s countermeasures, feel free to hit me up on the HFboards or the ECSF boards (links on right), otherwise, I am unable to proceed :(

Rangers@Senators Post Game Thoughts…

Posted by inferno272 on September 20th, 2008

For the first preseason game of the year, the Rangers, sporting by and large 3rd and 4th liners in the NHL, and people who have never played in the NHL in their lives, held up fairly strongly. They did so against a nearly complete Ottawa team who were playing without notables Volchenkov as well as captain Alfredsson. Truth be told, outside of a miserable first period, in which Stephen Valiquette looked like he was still playing golf, the Rangers pretty much owned the play. Several players looked quite good, while several players left a lot to be desired. The latter includes Moore, Rissmiller, Fahey, Sjostrom, Rozsival and Colton Orr. I felt Byers, Prucha, Drury, Dawes and Voros all played good to very good games. The real stand outs were Michael Del Zotto, who didn’t look that out of place (and yes, this is the same pick I have been killing since the day we made it), Marc Staal (who was steady as ever, while showing some willingness to play the offensive game), Ryan Callahan (who threw his body around liberally and was in the middle of every play, and all over the puck on either side of the rink), Mika Wiikman (who pitched a shutout after coming in for Vally), and by far and away Brandon Dubinsky.

There was no player on the ice, for either team, who was more impressive than Dubinsky. Not Heatley, not Spezza, not the 7+ million dollar Drury. Nobody. Brandon was all over the place, throwing hits, going end to end, playing solid defense, being active on each and every shift. He was the entire Rangers offense, scoring both goals, nearly netting 1 more, and nearly set up Dawes for the game tying goal with about 2 minutes to go in the game. The one negative might have been Dubinsky trying to do too much at times out there. A few times he attempted to go through several players only to turn the puck over, or receive a big hit. He needs to be careful about that, and uses his linemates a little more. Those are things that come with time though, and this kid has a LONG career in front of him playing for the Rangers.

The flip side of the coin though was the power play, which was absolutely horrendous. The Rangers had a minimum of 9 power play chances, and only scored the 1 goal where Dubinsky basically single handedly willed the power play to a goal by splitting 2 defenseman and wristing a laser over Gerber on the stick side. The power play looked absolutely inept, often times never even gaining entry into the zone, with turnovers in the neutral zone, and in their own zone as well. One would think though, the team missing their 5 best players, including likely their entire first power play unit sans Rozsival, would be the difference. We shall see on Monday.

One thing is glaringly obvious though after watching tonights game. Brandon Dubinsky has no place on the 3rd line for this team. He is far too good to be playing 15-17 minutes a night, he needs to be out there 20-23 minutes each and every game. Personally I would be interested in seeing a setup like this:

Drury - Gomez - Dawes
Naslund - Dubinsky - Zherdev
Fritsche - Korpikoski - Callahan
Sjostrom - Betts - Voros/Orr
Voros/Orr

Yes, I know Petr Prucha is nowhere to be seen on this lineup. Unfortunately another thing became kind of clear to me as well, we have far too many midgets on this team. Prucha is the odd man out because of his contract, and penchant for being demolished once a game. I stand firmly though that we need to get EQUAL value for him if we are going to trade him.

Not bad for a first game though. The Rangers will be paper thin next game as well outside of their first line, but it should be an interesting game nevertheless.

I will try to do my Season Preview - Part 4 writeup sometime tomorrow after my game, probably around 2 or 3 am.

Rangers @ Senators Live Blog

Posted by inferno272 on September 20th, 2008

-As usual, older posts at the top, newer posts at the bottom. Rangers are sending their 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and…well, 5th liners out there, with only 50% of their projected opening night defense. The Senators have almost their entire opening day lineup out there. Rangers probably won’t win this one, and if they do, it’ll be a very surprising win indeed.

-I almost feel like crying. Hockeys back baby! YAHHOOOO!!!!

-Rissmiller looks like he should be sitting in a spaceship abducting people.

-Ahhhh, Shoenfeld behind the bench instead of Renney. Too bad we can’t have this every game.

-Ottawa throwing the body like crazy, Voros and Mara both flattened on the same shift.

-Heatley with a blast, beats Vally cleanly. Can’t have Heatley wide open in his office.

-Callahan gets away with an elbow, glad to see hes involved with the physicality.

-Byers throwing the body consistently. This game is really uptempo and PHYSICAL.

-Wow, Dawes just blows by Prucha on the backcheck, it was a small little play, but you saw some explosiveness from Dawes in his skating stride there.

-Del Zotto to the box, looks like a good call at first glance.

-Rangers get a whistle right back, to me it looked like he just fell over, not much contact.

-Staal has been carrying the puck in with authority several times. Rangers take another penalty, thats 3 so far in the first, and were not even halfway done with the period.

-LOL, another penalty, this time to the Senators. Sheesh, a whistle every 70 seconds or so.

-Del Zotto takes down Foligno with the body. Superb play.

-Wow, yet another penalty, this time its the Senators. Wow.

-Things are getting heated out there. Hockey is back baby.

-Pruchas looked very good. Just as I say that, Rozsival loses the puck, and Spezza gets a shorty. 2-0 Sens.

-Ottawa takes yet another penalty.

-Buahahahah, guess what? Another penalty. Rangers go on a long 5 on 3. Let’s hope they cash in.

-Man, the 5 on 3 looks worse than last year if anything (so far).

-Another penalty on Ottawa. Theyve had like 6 Power Plays this period, and have absolutely nothing to show for it. Not even many shots.

-Prucha with a bad turnover, Rangers get called for a penalty. This game is going to take a ton of time with all these penalties being called.

-Ottawa, when they arent killing penalties, are just dominating this game.

-Well, my thoughts on the first period are pretty easy. Rangers have a far less talented group of players out there, and it’s definitely showing. When they are on the power play, it looks like they are playing even strength, when they are at even strength, it looks like they are down a man, and when they are killing a penalty, it looks like they are down 2 men. Don’t read too much into it, Rangers have about half their roster against basically the entire Senators team.

-Second period set to start.

-Well, you know hockey is back when Prucha gets plastered with an open ice hit.

-Ottawa goes up 3-0. Vally has to stop that one. Terrible goal.

-Rangers go back on the PP, im sure Ottawa will score another shorty before we score a PP goal.

-Dane Byers gets plastered.

-Dubi Dubi DOO! Dubinsky gets the Rangers off the schnied!

-Senators go on the PK again. I think its 2 minutes for sneezing.

-Dawes, Prucha and Drury with a really nice shift there on the PP. Prucha sets up Mara for a point blanker that he doesnt score on.

-Rangers go on the PK. Theyve had some good shift though before that. Theyve looked much stronger on the puck, and quicker to transition into the offensive zone.

-Reffing has been PUTRID today. Yes, its been putrid in our favor, but it that doesnt make it any less putrid.

-Vally out, Wiikman in. Vally was not very good. He was mediocre. Beaten 4 times, one of the shots hitting the post.

-Rangers back on the PK.

-Ottawa takes another penalty. This is crazy.

-Penalty on Orr, this is something like 17 or 18 penalties so far through 2 periods between the 2 teams.

-Well, that second period was way different than the first, Rangers looked much better, setting up plays, getting men to the net, funneling the puck there, getting rushes. They looked much better. But, they still only scored the 1 goal on a beautiful play by Dubinsky splitting 2 players with a burst of speed and wristing one top shelf. Other than that they really have nothing else to show for themselves. I think if both teams had their full lineups out there, Rangers would be up by the same score we have here (3-1) rather than the other way around. Ottawa did have quite a few gorgeous passing plays out there though that really raised my eyebrows.

-Rangers about to be 2 men down.

-Rangers back to the sin bin. Dubi has been trying to do way too much by himself in this period.

-Dane Byers absolutely flattens someone.

-MSG having technical difficulties. Its been like that for a few years now, they need to have a much higher quality of broadcast, this is getting ridiculous.

-Rangers shorthanded again.

-DUUUUBBBIIII!!!! Shorty, GREAT play by Cally to break up the play and get the puck to Dubi. Rangers back in it.

-Dawes to the sin bin for goalie interference. Rangers were oh so close to tying it up. Dubinsky absolutely taking the game over.

-Game over, Rangers lose 3-2. But I thought we played SUPERBLY after a terrible first period.

-Live blog is over, Ill do a post game wrap in a bit.

2008-2009 Preview - Part 3

Posted by inferno272 on September 19th, 2008

On to the meat & potatoes as they say. This is what it is really all about for us, the Atlantic Division. Usually I do this alphabetically, but in this case, I will stick the Rangers in last.


New Jersey Devils : Predicted Point Total: 94


If not for Uncle Daddy looking just putrid against us in the playoffs, I would have predicted these guys win the Atlantic. They picked up Rolston and Holik, without any massive losses like they suffered the previous few years. That is pretty amazing. For a team that was putrid offensively those 2 guys will help while fitting like a glove in the Devils defensive system. Not to mention they have the best coach in hockey (in my humble opinion) behind the bench. They will hit you hard, they will come at you hard, they will make you turn the puck over, and unlike last season, they will score a little bit more. So why do I have them dropping off from 99 points last year to 97 this year? I think this is the year Brodeur falls off the face of the planet. Let’s get one thing perfectly straight guys. If Uncle Daddy played like he did during his apex, we would have lost that series, if not out and out swept. They outplayed us every step of the way, only to see Uncle Daddy give up 2 or 3 simply awful goals every single game. This is going to be a bigger problem this year, and I don’t trust their backup (Kevin Weekes) one iota.

However, people like me have been declaring the demise of Uncle Daddy for 5-10 years now, and all he does is win Vezina after Vezina. So it is entirely possible that this is just a gross underestimation done by yours truly. If that is the case, bump up the Devils point total to something closer to 100-102 points. I think they have the ability to be that good.


New York Islanders : Predicted Point Total: 70


The endless circus that is Charles Wang’s New York Islanders took a monstrous step back this season, but it may be to take several huge steps forward in the next 5. The Islanders will be a putrid offensive team. They lost Fedatenko and Satan, not exactly powerhouses, but who accounted for roughly 16.5% of the 2nd worst offense in the league. Who are they replacing these guys with? Dough Weight, and…uhh. I guess Okposo. I mean, let’s be fair, they have some promising youg kids with Okposo, Comeau, Nielsen, Campoli, Gervais, and possibly Bailey. But not a single one of those guys is a game changer. Not. One. Even Okposo, a guy I have a serious man-crush on, is likely to never be anything more than Brandon Dubinsky. While I don’t mean that as a diss to Dubi or to Okposo, we have to face the fact that Dubinsky is not going to be one of the 10 best players in hockey. At his best he is a 2nd line player, likely what Okposo will turn out to be. Bailey is projected to be more of a Brad Richards kind of player. A guy who plays well in all facets, but also highly unlikely that he will be the best or second best player on the team at his peak. They have ZERO defense in the pipeline. Nothing, zero, zip, zilch. They have a few kids playing this year, assuming Gervais and Campoli do play, and the rest are 30+ year olds. They have an elite goalie manning the net, but his health has to be a question now with 2 straight years of him having injuries.

You have the 2nd worst offense in hockey who lost 2 players tied for 3rd on their team in goals for. YIKES. But it gets worse, they also fired their coach, a guy who has gotten them to overachieve like nobodys business the past few years. Their justification was that he didn’t want to play the kids. If that is the case, then they likely did make the right move, but it’s tough to sell that to a fan base when you have one of the 5 best coaches in hockey behind your bench, and you fire him for an inexperienced AHL coach. Double YIKES.

Sadly, this is basically an ideal situation for the Islanders. Depending on what happens out West these guys may very well be in the running for John Tavares or Victor Hedman, both exactly the kind of player the Islander need. 1 an elite defenseman, the other an elite center. In truth, I hope with my heart of hearts I am wrong, that these guys compete for a playoff spot and find themselves with a #12ish pick. Then their franchise will be set back because of not being able to nab one of those 2 ridiculous franchise players available. Sadly, I think I am right on this one, they will suck, big time.


Philadelphia Flyers : Predicted Point Total: 95


According to nhlnumbers.com the Flyers are 4.5 million over the cap right now, and thats with zero spare forwards and 2 spare defenseman. Assuming they carry 1 and 1, all that means is they should still be about 4.5 mil over the cap. These guys need to dump some salary, and fast. How are they going to do this? I haven’t the foggiest, but this is the only reason I have them slightly less than us, and the Pens. If they can pull some hocus pocus and go this season with a full roster and not lose anyone of real consequence, I can see them challenging for the division title (haven’t I said that about everyone so far?!). I’m guessing Rathje is going to be gone, but that still leaves 1 million to cut on top of that. Will they carry zero spare forwards? Or zero spare defenseman? Also this basically percludes them from adding anyone of consequence at the trade deadline because they won’t be able to absorb any big salaries (without trading a big salary back, which would weaken them in another way.)

Still, this team made it to the Eastern Conference Finals for a reason. They are tough as nails, have skill spread out on every line, have a lethal power play and a very good penalty kill. Those are some very good things. Don’t underestimate these guys. They could be a good sleeper pick to make the cup finals.

On the team end, they lost Smith, and Umberger, 2 pretty big aspects of their team in the playoffs and down the stretch, and also lost the guy they picked up at the deadline, Prospal, and haven’t really filled in those holes. Instead they just re-upped their own guys and find themselves over the cap. In reailty they should be taking a small step back, but I expect them to play about the same as last year regardless, hence the exact same point total.


Pittsburgh Penguins: Predicted Point Total: 97


Any team that loses Ryan Malone, Jarkko Ruutu, Marian Hossa, Colby Armstrong, and Erik Chritensen from the trade deadline till today, and replace them with Matt Cooke, Miro Satan, and Ruslan Fedotenko, you know you have taken a monstrous step backwards. But, let’s be fair, this team still has Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin. Those are 2 of the 5 best players in hockey today, playing on the same team. That is a huge advantage for this team. Add in the fact that last year they learned how to play defense and actually got something out of their goalie, and you have a recipe for a division champ. I don’t see them running away with it, in fact I think it will be just the opposite. I think they will win it on the last day of the season. But they will still win it. I don’t, however, think they have near enough offense to make the cup finals again. This is a playoff team, but not a cup contender. Unlike some of the other teams who may have drastic sways from one way to the other, I think you are able to pretty easily read what this team is all about. They will be very good, but not so good that they frighten everyone like they did last year.


New York Rangers : Predicted Point Total: 96


I’ve been kind of back and forth on this team, for a very good reason. They have the opportunity to be a real beast, or they could just as easily be a lottery team. This team is totally based on everyone rising to the occasion as one. You need Redden, Naslund, and Zherdev to all improve, you need Prucha to bounce back, you need Dawes, Callahan, and Dubinsky to all take steps forward, you need Henrik Lundqvist to play consistent elite hockey from game 1 till the last game of this season, whenever it is, and you need Tom Renney to get this team to play great from out the gate. If some of those things don’t happen, you are going to see a good team, but likely competing for the last spot or 2 in the playoffs. If most of those things don’t happen, this team doesnt make the playoffs. If all of them don’t happen, this team might be a lottery contender.

In the end, this is how I look at it. Henrik Lundqvist + The best defense (on paper) in the East = Very good team. Even if the offense doesn’t click all the time, this team should be able to win games just the opposite of the way the Tampa Bay Lightning will be winning games. 1-0, 2-1, etc. Add in Nikolai Zherdev, Nigel Dawes, and possibly Brendan Shanahan, and you have a team that will likely go undefeated in the shootout. I tend to believe most of the good things will happen, but I’m almost always too much of a sunshiner in that aspect. I expect the best from this team, then gripe and moan when they are lose 2 or 3 in a row.

Offensively this team has a chance to be exactly like the Buffalo Sabres were 2 seasons ago. Speed up and down the lineup, skill up and down the lineup, very little size up and down the lineup. This is likely to be a team of many, rather than a team of a few. Meaning Shanny and Jagr won’t be this team’s offense. They will live and die as a collective, rather than as individuals, which is always how you want the team to be if at all possible.

With that said, this club is certainly not without its flaws. There still is no shooter from the point, barring a sudden lobotomy by Michal Rozsival. They are exceedingly soft outside of Dubinsky, Callahan, Voros, and Orr. They lost their heart and soul, Sean Avery, and we have no idea how this wildcard will effect the team. They have little to no depth behind their starting 6 defenseman, with Sanguinetti not ready, Sauer injured, and Baranka in Russia. We better hope Kondratiev or Pock have superb seasons, because you know the defense always has at least 1 or 2 injuries lasting for 5-10 games. There is nobody to crash the net and get those dirty rebounds. While Chris Drury gets many of his goals out in front, they are usually tip in goals, or opportunistic goals, he almost never bull rushes himself to the front and slams home a rebound. Dubinsky may be that guy, but he really didn’t play that kind of a game last year. He was a little more on the perimeter then drive to the net, rather than camping out in front and taking abuse and getting garbage goals.

Those are substantial question marks, not to mention the guy behind the bench, a guy I have been exceedingly critical of. Let’s be fair to Renney though, these past few years he really hasn’t had a "Tom Renney" team. Meaning he didn’t have the kind of players up and down his lineup to play his style of hockey. He does this year. He better deliver.

Final verdict? They contend for the division, but fall just short. I think the defense and goaltending this year is going to be mindblowingly good, and the offense will be better than last year, but not substantially better. I also expect the power play to take a step forward, and the penalty kill to take a step backward (defensive forwards are way more important in penalty killing than in 5 on 5 play, we lost 2, possibly 3 of our 6 penalty killing forwards). Should be a fun season! Don’t forget I have 2 more parts to this writeup! Part 4 sometime over the weekend, probably Sunday.

Final Predicted Standings:
1) Pittsburgh Penguins** 97
2) New York Rangers* 96
3) Philadelphia Flyers* 95
4) New Jersey Devils* 94
5) New York Islanders 70
** denotes division champion
* denotes playoff team

Final Predicted Standings:
1) Montreal Canadiens** 110
2) Pittsbugh Penguins** 97
3) Washington Capitals** 96
4) New York Rangers* 96
5) Philadelphia Flyers * 95
6) Ottawa Senators* 95
7) New Jersey Devils* 94
8 ) Tampa Bay Lightning* 94
9) Boston Bruins 93
10) Buffalo Sabres 91
11) Carolina Hurricanes 90
12) Florida Panthers 80
13) Toronto Maple Leafs 73
14) Atlanta Thrashers 71
15) New York Islanders 70
** denotes division champion
* denotes playoff team

 

 

 

 

 

One final thing. You may notice the overall point totals for the team seem much lower than last year, especially among the playoff teams. I have it this way because of the change in schedule. Teams this year will be playing more games against the Western Conference, a Conference far superior to our own. I anticipate some humiliating scores in some of the games against the Red Wings. It won’t be pretty. Overall, that is why I have the East at a much lower point level than last year, and similarly I would expect the West to be higher in point totals as well.

Live Blog - Rangers VS Tampa Bay - Traverse City

Posted by inferno272 on September 17th, 2008

-Yep, I will be live blogging this event. As usual, newer posts are down below, older posts are up top.

-Anisimov playing with an A, pretty cool.

-Quite poor camera quality.

-Pansy fight there, Dowzak from the Rangers throwing em down. The guy looks HUGE, but didn’t really do much in a fight with someone much smaller.

-Rangers score! Barnes nets one on a nice 2 on 1. It was a really nice pass, not sure who did the passing though.

-Sanguinetti stands up a player at center ice, good to see him do that.

-Anisimov rings one off the post, wow, nice hard shot.

-Anisimov to the box for high sticking, pretty nasty play, just cross checked the Tampa guy right in the face.

-Pyatt with a breakaway on the PK, doesn’t net it, kid has some legs.

-It appears Anisimovs penalty was a major, I didnt pick up on that till just now…

-Pyatt is also an A.

-Rangers take a delay of game penalty for clearing the puck into the stands, down 2 men.

-Tampa takes a penalty for high sticking, Messier was the one who was hit. They’re calling it a double minor.

-2 seconds in, Anisimov bangs one home. Man, this kid is going to be something.

-Anisimov falls over for no reason, leads to Tampa scoring a goal, but it was waived off because it was apparently hit with a high stick, replay shows it is conclusively a high stick.

-Sanguinetti and Del Zotto playing the point on the Power Play. I gotta say, they looked pretty good moving the puck.

-Christ, Grachev is a freaking huge man.

-Del Zotto with some MAJOR wheels. Holy moly this kid can FLY.

-Rangers take another penalty, sheesh, it’s been the story of this tournament so far for them, they are taking way too many penalties.

-Wow, what a pass by Del Zotto to Weiss. Man, tap in goal on a beauty of a pass.

-Del Zotto is very active in the offensive zone. He certainly has no worries about jumping into the play. Its a good thing if hes paired with a guy like Staal, I could see why he is a minus player in this tournament though, he is almost reckless in his offensive aggressiveness.

-Brodie Dupont was the C, I wasnt sure, but they just confirmed it for me.

-Rangers about to head on a PP. Anisimov is a bull out there…

-Rangers take another penalty.

-Doyle just SMASHED by an open ice hit.

-Sanguinetti with a nice play, driving to the net uses his speed, but doesnt convert.

-Dupont stepping in to protect AA, gotta love that.

-Dupont got thrown out, but thats inconsequential compared to the message he sent to his teammates. Love it.

-Or maybe not, apparently its a 10 minute misconduct, not a game.

-Tampa scores on a goalmouth frenzy in the last 3 seconds of the 2nd period. BAH!

-Gordie Clark on Grachev “Hes been very average”

-Anisimov bangs home the rebound on Sanguinettis point shot. Right place, right time goal.

-Clarke called AA a 3rd liner. Not sure I agree with that.

-Barmes with a wraparound goal, rangers up 5-1.

-Clarke not pulling any punches, saying Naslund was very average the last 2 years.

-Rangers take another penalty. Tommy Pyatt has done a superb job defensively in this game.

-Clarke says Dupont needs to work on his speed. I agree.

-Del Zotto fans on a shot, leads to Tampa getting an odd man rush against. It’s the second time Ive seen him fan on a shot.

-Tampa scores, stoppable shot.

-Rangers take another penalty, less than 3 mins to go in the game.

-Tommy Pyatt is just playing a heck of a game.

-Rangers win 5-3, they missed an open net in the last second. Good game by the kids. Not much else to say. I’m outta here, Part 4 of my preview will be up tomorrow night.

2008-2009 Preview - Part 2

Posted by inferno272 on September 16th, 2008

The Northeast Division is up next, and this is where things get slightly more interesting. Unlike the ridiculously weak Southeast division, the Northeast division does sport some pretty powerful teams, including my personal pick for the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference, the Montreal Canadiens. On top of that they feature another team I predict will make the playoffs, and 2 others I feel will be in it till the last game or 2 of the season. So, without further adieu, here is my preview for the Northeast division…


Boston Bruins: Predicted Point Total: 93


Esentially you have a playoff team that got better on paper by adding Michael Ryder, and who should have a healthy Patrice Bergeron without many notable losses at all outside of a player who plays much older than he is in Glen Murray. You also have a team that has probably my most favorite non Ranger youngster in the entire NHL. No, not Phil Kessel, I’m talking about Milan Lucic, a guy I would kill to have on the Rangers. That kid has game changer written all over him, with the ability to smash people into next week, to drive them crazy with his style of play, and to break some faces from time to time. So they have all this going for them, and yet I predict they are going to end up with a worse record than they did last year. Say what? Well, it did take a lot of thinking here, but this is the way I see it, when you have a team that is ridiculous like the Habs, they are going to pretty much own you, like they did all of last season. Then you have a team like the Ottawa Senators who are definitely due for a rebound with an offseason to get refocused, and the circus that was Ray Emery gone. Basically, you have an entire division that got stronger outside of the Maple Leafs. So I figure the Bruins will lose ground on the other teams in their division, and won’t pick up all those points by pounding the Leafs as much since they get to play them only 6 times instead of 8 times. I also anticipate Tim Thomas coming back down to earth this season. He had a damn near Vezina performance last season, and I just don’t buy him at all. Manny Fernandez is kind of a question mark at this point if you ask me, so I’m not going to say much about how he would do instead of Thomas, but considering how last year went, it probably won’t be good.. All in all, it adds up to a pretty similar point production as last season, but a small step back takes this team from just inside the playoff picture, to just outside the playoff picture.


Buffalo Sabres : Predicted Point Total: 91


Last season I predicted the Sabres would be a 100 point team. I’m not going to make that mistake again. Clearly I overestimated how much the supporting cast would pick up the slack left by the loss of Drury and Briere. The Sabres are esentially bringing back an identical team as they did last year, a team that missed the playoffs by 4 points with one huge, gigantic difference. No Brian Campbell. Look, I know the guy was a cluster-you-know-what in his own end, but you, me, everyone knew that when the guy had the puck on his stick and was skating it out of his own zone magic was about to happen. In my opinion he more than made up for his defensive deficiencies with superb offensive prowess. Is he worth the contract he got? No, not by a long shot, but he still is a heck of a talent, that makes the vaunted Buffalo offense much less intimidating. In his stead they added Craig Rivet. A very good defenseman for sure, but nowhere near the level of Brian Campbell. They are also losing Dimitri Kalinin to the Rangers. Depending on who you ask that is either an improvement or a huge improvement. Kalinin was the Sabres version of Marek Malik (apparently), and was basically run out of town the way you hear their fans talk about it. I’m hesitant to believe it since I recall Kalinin playing very well against us 2 seasons ago, putting up a goal and 2 assists in the 6 game series. Regardless, I think the Sabres will remain a playoff contender up till the last 2 or 3 games where their lack of that little something extra that Briere and Drury brought them (and which they haven’t yet replaced) will cost them. Close, but not close enough.


Montreal Canadiens : Predicted Point Total: 110


You remember the Buffalo Sabres of 2 years ago, where their motto was, these guys are scary good? That’s how I see the Habs. They scared the crap out of me last year, and in my personal opinion, upgraded big time. They esentially traded Streit and Ryder for Tanguay and Lang. I’m not sure who exactly replaces Streit on their power play, but for a power play that seems to be lethal even if you have a piece of olive loaf playing the point, I am sure they will be fine. They also have prospect Ryan McDonagh in the pipeline who may, or may not, challenge for a spot.

The Candiens have figured out something so simple and essential to hockey in todays game that the Rangers, as of yet, have not been able to understand. The Power Play wins games. Period, end of story, goodbye, have a nice day. If you have a powerplay that is absolutely lethal you win on 2 counts. First, when and if you go on the power play, which still invariably happens 5 or 6 times a game, you stand a great shot of scoring at least 1 or 2 goals. While that is all fine and great, the ancillary thing that happens ends up being far more important. Because of their ridiculously strong power play they force teams to play a significantly softer game against them. You can’t risk throwing that big hit, you can’t risk bumping their goalie, you can’t risk sneezing in their direction. Why? Because if there is even the slightest chance it is called a penalty you know you just seriously effed your team. This helps your even strength game tremendously. If the Habs didn’t have that power play, I would consider them about as good as the Rangers. I think pound for pound they play about as good a brand of hockey as we do, but adding that mind blowingly lethal powerplay blows us out of the water.

Also, those of you thinking Price may be a problem, I laugh at. This kid is the real deal, at least I feel so. I think last year you saw a kid going through some growing pains. This year he’s going to be top notch leading a team that would be the Presidents Cup winner if not for a sickeningly good Detroit Red Wings team.


Ottawa Senators : Predicted Point Total: 95


Heatley, Spezza, Alfredsson. The conversation ends there. Any team with those 3 will make the playoffs. No matter how they start, or how they finish, when you have 3 players that talented, all playing on the same line, you will win enough games to make the playoffs. How good will they be? It’s hard to say, I think those 3 alone with almost any supporting cast can lead a team to the playoffs, but even then they still have Phillips, Vermette, Neil, Volchenkov, etc. They have a pretty good team. They also got a kings randsom for Meszaros who I personally feel is ridiculously overrated, and would make that trade any day of the week. In return they get Picard and Kuba, who should more than adequately replace his production. They also added superpest Jarkko Ruutu which should significantly help to wake up a team that sleepwalked the final few months of the season. In fact a lineup with both Neil and Ruutu on top of the big 3 is kinda scary. On the back end they lost one of the best overall defenseman in the league today in Wade Redden but did manage to add Jason Smith, who is no where near as mobile as Redden, but is more of a physical presence. I think the Senators pretty much end up like they did last year, but without the huge up and equally huge down. I think they are more of a consistent 95ish point team, rather than the wildly inconsistent 94 point team they were last year.


Toronto Maple Leafs : Predicted Point Total: 73


They gave their fans the Finger….Literally. With next to nothing coming their way in the free agent market, and with the very real possibility of losing their best player (by a country mile) in Mats Sundin, and having already lost their point shot on the Power play, these guys will be terrible. They should have Schenn on their team (unless they would rather not force feed the NHL to him so fast) but he’s still a kid, and is a defensive defenseman, he’s not going to help these guys score goals. The Leafs will be very bad. Very very bad. So bad I don’t know what else to say except I think they will be bad….but the Thrashers and Islanders will be worse.

Final Predicted Standings:
1) Montreal Canadiens** 110
2) Ottawa Senators* 95
3) Boston Bruins 93
4) Buffalo Sabres 91
5) Toronto Maple Leafs 73
** denotes division champion
* denotes playoff team

 

 

 

 

2008-2009 Preview - Part 1

Posted by inferno272 on September 11th, 2008

Well, even though it’s 3am, I felt I have been procrastinating more than enough this offseason. I feel pretty hypocritical requesting the NYRangersCast crew get to work when I myself have been very slow in writing the articles, and mine just requires me to just sit and type whenever I want, without having to get studio time to do recording. Anyway, what I owe you guys is one long piece previewing the season. Because of sheer length I am going to break it down into parts, but it really is going to be one massive piece. Here is how it will break down:

  • Part 1: Southeast Division Preview
  • Part 2: Northeast Division Preview
  • Part 3: Atlantic Division Preview
  • Part 4: New York Rangers Defense & Goaltending Preview
  • Part 5: New York Rangers Forward Preview
  • Part 6: New York Rangers Season Expectations, Predictions, etc
  • Part 7: Get Some Rest
  • So, let’s get right into it shall we? This is going to be alphabetical for simplicity.


    Atlanta Thrashers: Predicted Point Total: 71


    It’s ironic I should start with this team, considering it really is the one I am least looking forward to actually writing. Here is my problem, I have many many friends who are super die hard Thrasher fans, many of whom are season ticket holders. I have no idea if they ever check out this site, but if they do, odds are they won’t be happy with this review. I suppose if any of you guys are reading this, now is the time to look away.

    So, you have a team that finished dead last in the worst division in hockey, having Marian Hossa playing the bulk of the season in your uniform. Now, you lose Marian Hossa, and acquire 3rd line, borderline 2nd line players to fill his shoes. You have a team that has a GLARING need for a center to play with arguably the 2nd best pure goal scorer in the NHL today, but it does nothing to fill in the need. The Thrashers are going to be bad folks. Yes, they signed Jason Williams, and Ron Hainsey, 2 moves I really love for their franchise, but they did nothing to fill in the massive gap in skill between Kovalchuk and the next closest threat. Most teams have at least 2 legitimate offensive superstar, or at least 3 or 4 very good offensive players. Who do the Thrashers have? They have Kovalchuk….and? Really Kozlov would be the closest thing to a secondary scorer on this team, and he netted a grand total of 17 goals last year. After that the drop off in goal total is frightening to look at. Adding Jason Williams will surely help, but it’s a bit much to ask him to fill in Marian Hossas shoes.

    Here is the long and the short of this team. If Kari Lehtonen stands on his head, & Ilya Kovalchuk nets at least 2 goals, they will have a chance at winning. Otherwise, they will lose, and lose a lot. A whole lot. The only saving grace for the Thrashers is that the Islanders will likely be worse, so at least they can say that. They also have Bogosian, and Hainsey which should most defintiely upgrade the 2nd to last defensive team in hockey, but expecting Bogosian and Hainsey to have enough of an impact on this team to turn them around from a cellar dwellar (again, in the worst division in hockey) is just unrealistic. Even with the defensive upgrade, and presumably a healthy Kari Lehtonen who should perform well as he is one of the more talented goalies in the league, there still is a monstrous gaping hole in terms of goal scoring. The only way this team can compete is if they go into an insane defensive system, like the Canucks, and I don’t see a team with Ilya Kovalchuk doing that. Why? Because he is 1 more year away from free agency. You simply can not play a style of hockey that will alienate your franchise player. If he is scoring goals, maybe it will take his mind off of the teams record, but if he isn’t scoring goals, and the team still sucks, then you are up the creek with no hope of getting out.


    Carolina Hurricanes : Predicted Point Total: 90


    The defending Stanley Cup Champions, once removed will once again find themselves in the thick of the playoff race, only to fall short in the last week or so. Kind of a bold prediction right? Not really. The Canes were a 92 point team last year in the crappiest division in hockey, with a ridiculously weak Tampa Bay squad to beat up on, and a Washington team that didn’t really find their identity till the final few months of the season. They won’t have that luxury, and while I truly believe they have improved by adding Joni Pitkanen, and getting rid of my least favorite player in NHL History (Erik Cole), I do not think it is near enough to combat the fact that those 2 teams have gotten substantially better than what these guys have faced for the bulk of last season, and they will have 2 fewer games each to beat up on the Thrashers and Panthers (fewer rivaly games on this years schedule, thankfully). This is a case where a team actually gets better, but will finish with a worse record than the previous season.

    With the signing of Pitkanen, the Canes managed to address a serious weakness they have, a complete and utter lack of any offense on their blueline. Remember, this is the same club that had to dress Andrew Hutchinson as a defenseman strictly so they had a competant power play quarterback, but never let him play during even strength or the penalty kill. That is called desperation, and while Joni Pitkanen might be one of the most potent unharnessed weapons in all of hockey, he can’t do it all himself, and history has shown that he is far more likely to underachieve, than finally realize his great potential.

    This team does still have Staal, Cullen, Whitney, Brind’Amour, Walker, etc. They have a ton of firepower, and they have a former Conn Smythe winner between their pipes, for what that is worth. They will be a threat each and every night. This won’t be a team that you can look past on the schedule. But with all of that said, the rest of the East is just better, especially the Atlantic.


    Florida Panthers: Predicted Point Total: 80


    Sacrifice offense for defense. That is what these guys have decided to do. They traded away one of the most underrated players in the East in Olli Jokinen, and acquired 2 defenseman in Keith Ballard and Nick Boynton. Yes, that is an idiotic trade, and yes, that is why I have these guys dropping from 85 points last year to 80 this year. I think we will see a substantial improvement from a very average defensive team (14th in the NHL) to one of the best defensive teams in the NHL. Unfortunately in order to win in the NHL, you still have to score more goals than the other guy, and with Jokinen gone, that leaves just Nathan Horton, Cory Stillman and David Booth as the only guys you can legitimately expect to score over 20 goals.

    Rostislav Olesz is an interesting part of this team though. Last year he netted 14 goals in only 56 games, and while that isn’t super impressive, the kids skill set is undeniable. This isn’t a Nikolai Zherdev by any stretch of the imagination, but Olesz should be capable of netting 25+ goals consistently. If he finally breaks out of his shell, I think the Panthers might surprise and contend for a playoff spot, but I am banking on mediocrity to reign here. Expect a similar 10-15 goal performance from the enigma, even with more ice time.


    Tampa Bay Lightning : Predicted Point Total: 94


    You ever say something stupid to someone, and then they say the ever snarky "hey, I’ve got some swamp land for sale if you’re interested"? Well, I have a feeling that if you said that to the Lightning ownership they would buy it. And overpay it. Seriously, who did these guys not sign? They replaced one of the best coaches in hockey, with one of the most overrated mouthpieces ever. Are you kidding me? You think trading Tortorella for Melrose is a good move? Who the hell is running that franchise? They made a great, no brainer move in drafting Steven Stamkos, but when you look at a team that has St. Louis, Prospal, and Lecavalier, you figure that you have enough firepower to sink a battleship. But no, these guys then go and add Vrbata, Roberts, Malone, Hall, and Recchi. Sheesh! But here is the story with these guys…where is the defense? Yeah, they acquired the severely overrated Andrej Meszaros for a truck load, and they signed Olie the goalie to backstop them, but do you really feel confident with that group? You’ve got Mike Smith and Olaf Kolzig backstopping a defense that has Matt Carle, Andrej Meszaros, Paul Ranger, Andrew Hutchinson and..uhh…who else? Mike Lundin? Doug Janik? Who the hell are those guys? When Andrew Hutchinson, a guy who couldn’t beat out Jason ECHL Strudwick for a job, is your 4th best defenseman, you are in some serious crap.

    If ever there was a team that is going to try to outscore the crap out of you, this is it. They have offense galore, but they have no goaltending, and no defense at all, with a braindead coach running the show. If they had a better defense, or a superstar goalie, I think they could win it all, that is how friggin scary their offense is. As it is, they don’t. They will win a lot of games 6-5, but they will lose a lot of games by the same margin as well. A team like the Rangers is built to stop this kind of a club. We are build from the back out, with balance all across the board, the Lightning are all guns, with no armor. One shot, and they’re done.


    Washington Capitals : Predicted Point Total: 96


    The Capitals did a great job of not really screwing with a good thing. They did nothing of note in their entire roster outside of their goalie. They saw a team with 4 absolute studs all in their prime in AO, Semin, Backstrom, and Green, and figured, why should we screw with that? And right they are. This was the team I predicted to win their division last year, and now, I think they do it with a legitimate championship caliber team. The signing of Jose Theodore has been scoffed all across the blogosphere, personally, I think it is a coup-de-tat. I think these guys got a guy on the right side of a bounce back career. I honestly think Jose Theodore has a chance to backstop this team to a championship. That is how much I think of the guy. A few years back, I had given up on him, but now, I think he is back, with a vengeance.

    Now you have a team with 4 absolutely lethal offensive players, and add a superb goalie. And, you are adding a 5th superb offensive player in Michael Nylander. Don’t forget that they lost him early last year, but he should be back for the start of the season, and in this case it’s like adding an 80 point player via free agency but not having a single person really notice it. This is not the case of the Hurricanes, or the Tampa Bay lightning in terms of being a super top heavy team. These guys are really well balanced, offense up and down the lineup, physicality, responsibile two way players, a defense that is capable, and a superb goalie. If you are a Capitals fan, it’s hard not to be excited about this club. If you are a hockey fan, its hard not to be excited about this club. Things will be exciting this winter in the capital.

    Final Predicted Standings:
    1) Washington Capitals** 96
    2) Tampa Bay Lightning* 94
    3) Carolina Hurricanes 90
    4) Florida Panthers 80
    5) Atlanta Thrashers 71
    ** denotes division champion
    * denotes playoff team

     

     

     

     

    Preview Of The Previews…

    Posted by inferno272 on September 1st, 2008

    As I did last year, this year I will once again do an Eastern Conference preview and projections. Last year I did pretty good, getting 92.1% accuracy on my own grading scale (until someone suggests a better way to grade it, that’s the way I will do it because it’s the only thing that makes sense to me. My first part will come in the next few days, possibly as early as tomorrow.

    Yes, I’m Alive…

    Posted by inferno272 on August 28th, 2008

    As the entire world seemingly waits for the NYRangersCast to put up a new episode Mats Sundin to make up his mind, I really can’t find anything worth posting. I thought about doing an analysis on Drury and Gomez with regards to which is more valuable to the team, but really, it’s not necessary at this point simply because I have done enough Drury/Gomez venting to last 10 lifetimes. So, I will continue to sit back and eagerly wait for the Traverse City tournament to begin. I wish there would be some sort of broadcast on it, even if it were just a web stream, but it appears highly unlikely that would happen. Apparently MSG would rather air 25 year old Knicks game, than a tournament that would likely be the only time any of us will see some of these kids play for the next 3 years.

    Don’t worry though, should their be breaking news, of the trade, or Sundin variety (or maybe even a NYRangersCast ep?) I will be back in full blown analysis form.

    Are We Better?

    Posted by inferno272 on August 13th, 2008

    So there is a nice long thread going on over at the HF Boards concerning this team, and if it has improved or not. My personal opinion was that we will likely be a team that has about the same record as we did last year, but will be far more entertaining to watch. The thread is an excellent read, as there are opinions that pretty much run the gamut of possible stances on the question.

    I did wonder though, how would last years team compare to this year team if we go by numbers put up last year.

    Essentially our line for most of last year looked like this:

    Straka (14) - Dubinsky (14) - Jagr (25)
    Avery (15) - Gomez (16) - Shanahan (23)
    Dawes (14) - Drury (25) - Callahan (8)
    Hollweg (2) - Betts (2) - Orr (1)
    Prucha (7)

    Staal (2) - Rozsival (13)
    Tyutin (5) - Girardi (10)
    Mara (1) - Strudwick (1)
    Malik (2)



    Granted Sjostrom, Backman, etc did play a bit in there, but for the most part, that was the lineup you saw for most nights, or some combination of those players. Those players account for 200 of our 205 goals last season. Now, let’s compare a likely lineup for next season, using last seasons totals, shall we?

    Dawes (14) - Gomez (16) - Zherdev (26)
    Naslund (25) - Drury (25) - Prucha (7)
    Fritsche (10) - Dubinsky (14) - Callahan (8)
    Sjostrom (12) - Betts (2) - Voros (7)
    Rissmiller (8)
    Orr (1)

    Staal (2) - Redden (6)
    Girardi (10) - Rozsival (13)
    Kalinin (1) - Mara (1)
    Pock (0)



    Now this is assuming Pock scores zero goals, Prucha has another terrible season, and we carry an extra forward. Still, with those numbers this group puts up 208 goals, and you can assume pretty safely assume another 5 goals scored from fill ins, Pock, etc. So an expectation of 213 goals isn’t that far off the mark. And I for one expect the defense to actually improve as well. Interestingly enough, a rise to 213 goals (from 205) would bring us from 25th in the league in goals for up to 20th, definitely an improvement.

    Clearly this is all just offseason musing, no real weight can be put on any of this, but it would seem, from the numbers at least, that this team has either improved, or at least stayed about the same.