Archive for March 6th, 2007

Projections 3-5-07 (early morning)

Posted by inferno272 on March 6th, 2007

How this works:

Basically what I do, is to take the points a team has managed till now, divide it by the games played, then multiply it by 82. That should accurately project what the team should finish like, unless there is an extreme streak one way or the other.

Current
Rank
Team Games Played Points Points
Per
Game
Projected
Final
Points
Projected
Rank
6 Atlanta 67 78 1.1642 95 6
7 NY Islanders 66 76 1.1515 94 7
8 Carolina 68 73 1.0735 88 9
9 Montreal 68 72 1.0588 87 12
10 NY Rangers 66 71 1.0758 88 8
11 Toronto 66 71 1.0758 88 10
12 Boston 65 69 1.0615 87 11



As you can see,according to tonights calculations, I project the Rangers as MAKING the playoffs. Its a hard thing to say considering its technically a 3-way tie for the final playoff spot, but when you consider games in hand and current win totals, I “eyeballed” it to show the rangers with more wins. i doubt im wrong, but its what i think will happen. Therefore using these numbers we can project what the Rangers would have to go over the remaining 16 games in order to secure the projected 89 points (not 88 because its more ambiguous and harder to calculate, lets use 89 as a “secure” number) needed to secure the final playoff spot:

9-7-0
8-6-2
7-5-4
6-4-6
5-3-8
4-2-10
3-1-12
2-0-14

-Inferno