How this works:
Basically what I do, is to divide the points a team has managed till now, divide it by the games played, then multiply it by 82. That should accurately project what the team should finish it, unless there is an extreme streak one way or the other.
| Current Rank |
Team | Games Played | Points | Points Per Game |
Projected Final Points |
Projected Rank |
| 6 | Atlanta | 61 | 69 | 1.1311 | 93 | 6 |
| 7 | Carolina | 61 | 67 | 1.0983 | 90 | 8 |
| 8 | Toronto | 59 | 66 | 1.1186 | 92 | 7 |
| 9 | Montreal | 61 | 66 | 1.0892 | 89 | 9 |
| 10 | N.Y. Islanders | 59 | 64 | 1.0847 | 89 | 10 |
| 11 | N.Y. Rangers | 59 | 63 | 1.0678 | 88 | 11 |
As you can see, it isn’t within the realm of impossibility for us to make it. Therefore using these numbers we can project what the Rangers would have to go over the remaining 23 games in order to secure the projected 91 points needed to secure the final playoff spot:
14-9-0
13-8-2
12-7-4
11-6-6
10-5-8
9-4-10
8-3-12
7-2-14
6-1-16
5-0-18
Now, you may be asking yourself, what exactly is the difference between this and HockeyRodents Berth-O-Meter? Well, heres the answer. While the Rodents mathematical analysis is both thorough and sophisticated, it doesn’t give me the relevant information I want to know. For example, you could tell me I had a .002% chance of marrying Kristin Kreuk. Unfortunately that number means absolutely nothing to me. If however you could tell me what the circumstances for the .002% chance to be a reality, like moving to Vancouver, or being a billionaire or whatever, then I might find the information more relevant. This in no way says anything about the Rodents calculations towards you, but towards me, it just doesnt mean as much.
-Inferno
